2018 season review: Northern Hemisphere

Last Friday marked the end of the official hurricane season for both the North Atlantic (NA) and Eastern Pacific (EP) basins, providing a great opportunity to review how our first tropical cyclone activity forecast performed. Before we dive into the details of each basin/intensity category here is a quick summary of what our projections looked…

Our 2018 hurricane forecast explained

The numbers At the beginning of June we released reask’s inaugural tropical cyclone genesis forecast for the northern hemisphere. Of course we have spent a lot of time back-testing our model, but nothing beats real world live testing and this is our first attempt at it. The complete forecast for all northern hemisphere basins is…

Zoom in on our North Atlantic Hurricane Genesis Module

The genesis module from our global tropical cyclone model was released earlier this month, and provides a good opportunity to showcase some of the building blocks behind our modelling philosophy. Although the model is global, the discussion here will focus on North Atlantic Hurricanes only and on a single one of the climate indicators that…