Pre-landfall decision-making
Make the right call before the storm arrives
Every season, utilities, logistics networks, retailers, and infrastructure operators make expensive decisions before they have certainty. Stage crews or wait. Shut down a site or stay open. Reroute freight or hold course. Protect assets now or risk avoidable loss later.
THE CHALLENGE
It's October 7th, 2024. Hurricane Milton's forecast cone stretches across Florida's west coast. Your assets, crews, customers, and supply chain may all be in the impact zone, but the exact outcome is still uncertain.
Move too early, and you absorb unnecessary mobilization, shutdown, staffing and logistics costs. Move too late, and you face restoration delays, service failures, damaged assets, regulatory scrutiny, and avoidable financial loss.
THE IMPOSSIBLE CHOICE
Most tools still force binary decisions in a probabilistic world
The NHC cone, deterministic tracks, weather alerts, and internal playbooks are all useful inputs. But they rarely answer the question operators need to answer: What is the probability of exceeding our action threshold at this location, and is that probability high enough to justify the cost of acting now?
The NHC forecast cone
The gold standard for public hurricane forecasting and the right tool for evacuation planning. At your facility, a regional forecast is not a number you can act on.
Your local analytics provider
Single deterministic trajectories. One answer, no odds. When the track shifts overnight, you're starting over, because nobody told you that shift was already in the range of possibilities.
Running a full-physics ensemble model
Accurate, but too slow for operational use. Too few simulations means the range of possibilities is underrepresented when it matters most.
Your in-house weather team
Valuable for monitoring. But watching the storm isn't the same as knowing the odds at your specific location.
THE SOLUTION
1,000 realistic scenarios. Your site. Updated every six hours.
LiveCyc generates 1,000 simulated storm scenarios grounded in the current storm, giving you a probability at your specific location you can build a decision table around.
What this means for your operations
From forecast to decision.
Earlier mobilization decisions
Fewer unnecessary costs
Faster resource reallocation
More defensible decisions
PROOF OF CONCEPT
A framework used by organisations that can't afford to get it wrong
Built for the moment the number crosses your threshold.
Who we serve
Electric utilities
Stage mutual aid, position crews, prioritize restoration, protect critical infrastructure, and support regulatory defensibility with probability-based storm decisions.
Global operations and logistics
Protect sites, adjust staffing, reroute freight, reposition inventory, and maintain continuity across distributed networks of stores, warehouses, fulfillment centers, and transport routes.
Asset managers and infrastructure investors
Understand asset-level exposure, portfolio disruption risk, and forward-looking resilience needs across physical infrastructure holdings.
Telecom and subsea cable operators
Assess coastal landing stations, towers, network nodes, backup power requirements, and restoration priorities before and after major storm impacts.
